俄罗斯建立投资型增长的定位、路径与难点分析

从1999年至2008年国际金融危机之前,俄罗斯经济保持了年均近7%的高速增长。2007年,其经济总量恢复到转轨初期的水平,从而结束了恢复性增长并进入投资增长阶段。然而,投资不足成为其经济可持续、健康发展的掣肘。由于经济转轨及其造成的严重衰退,俄罗斯在1990年代经历了"去工业化"的过程,经济结构遭到严重破坏,加之高通胀以及政治等因素的影响,俄提前进入消费型经济。本文认为,俄罗斯要想实现经济增长方式的转变,进而实现经济现代化,加大投资对经济的拉动作用,建立投资型增长方式是关键。

Russia had annual rate of GDP growth at 7% from 1999 to 2008. Its economy returned to the level of early transition,putting an end to the restorative growth and entering into the investment driven growth. However,the investment shortage became handicap for Russian sustainable and healthy development. Russia experienced'de industrialization'and the economic structure was severely damaged with high inflation during the 1990s. Those factors advanced Russia into the consumer economy earlier. This paper holds that Russia must establish investment driven growth mode to achive the transformation of economic growth mode and modernize the economy.