弹性均势与中美印在印度洋上的经略

Flexible Balance and the Economic Strategies of China,the US and India in the Indian Ocean

由于国际格局的变化,印度洋成为世界海权的"心脏",由此中、美、印三国的安全战略在印度洋上聚焦。尽管中美印三国的印度洋战略目标和手段各不相同,但三国在印度洋上的博弈呈现出一种"非敌非盟"的态势,"弹性均势"为此提供了理论解释。印度洋上的"弹性均势"在一段时期内难以打破,并呈现出不平衡态势。印度洋上的力量格局变化也为中国提供了进一步拓展利益的空间。

Due to changes in the international context, the Indian Ocean has become the ＂heart＂ of global maritime power and the focus of the security strate- gies of China, the US and India. Even though the three countries have different strategic objectives and plans with respect to the India Ocean, what has emerged between them is neither an alliance nor an adversarial relationship. The theory of ＂flexible balance＂ provides an explanation for this. The ＂flexible balance＂ in the Indian Ocean is difficult to undermine at this point in time, but it lacks a stable equilibrium. As such changes in the balance China with greater space to of power in the Indian Ocean provide expand its interests in the region.