宁夏决策气象服务现状浅析及业务发展建议

Analysis of Current Situation and Development Proposals of Decision-making Meteorological Services in Ningxia

宁夏决策气象服务工作为各级党政领导在指挥生产、组织防灾减灾、气候资源合理开发利用和生态环境保护等方面进行科学决策发挥了重要参谋作用,但与现代气象业务体系建设及社会经济发展对决策气象服务的需求相比还有很大的差距,决策气象服务工作还存在着许多的问题与不足:一是敏感性、超前性还不能满足社会经济发展及党政部门的需求;二是决策气象服务的主要依据———天气预报的准确率尚不能达到令人满意的水平;三是决策气象服务的科技支撑能力不足;四是决策气象服务考核评价机制亟待健全和完善;五是决策气象服务人才队伍建设亟待加强。因此,要努力做到"四个结合",进一步提高决策气象服务的敏感性、针对性、主动性、及时性;加快决策气象服务业务平台建设,围绕地方社会经济发展特色,加大决策气象服务科技支撑能力研发力度,努力提高决策气象服务产品的内涵和质量;建立完善决策气象服务的业务质量和决策气象服务业务人员的考核评价机制;进一步拓宽决策气象服务领域。从而进一步提高决策气象服务能力和水平,更好地发挥防灾减灾综合效益。

The current situation of decision-making meteorological services work in Ningxia was analyzed,which show that scientific decision-making meteorological services work played an important role for the government leaders at all levels on the command of production,the organization of disaster prevention and mitigation,the rational utilization of climate resources and ecological environment protection in Ningxia,but for modern meteorological operational system and socio-economic development needs,the decision-making meteorological services work in Ningxia has many problems and shortcomings,so the decision-making meteorological services business platform should be constructed quickly,and according to the local socio-economic development features,the ability of the technology support should be improved,the appraisal mechanism of decision-making meteorological services quality and business personnel should be perfect,the field of decision-making meteorological services should be further extended so as to further improve the ability and level of decision-making meteorological services.