健美操运动员专项运动成绩预测模型的建立与应用

Construction and Application of Specific Performance Prediction Model for Aerobics Athletes

通过关联分析、聚类分析,从初选的32项身体形态、素质指标中筛选出了与专项动作技术最密切相关的若干项主要身体形态、素质指标,并建立了主要身体形态、素质与运动成绩的多元回归方程;制订了健美操运动员身体素质发展水平综合评价的标准及实施方案,用于准确地诊断与评估健美操运动员的身体素质发展水平,明确训练内容的重点,提高健美操训练的科学化程度。

In this paper,clustering analysis and relationship analysis were applied to filtrate main indicators corre lating closely to specific performance of 32 indicators of the physical shape and quality.A multiple regression equa tion was established between the specific performance and main indicators.The synthetic evaluation standard and ac tualization project for athletes’physical fitness level of development were made,which could be used to diagnose ac curately the status of athletes’physical qualities,define the key elements of their training and achieve more scientif ic training.