人口结构和产业结构的互动影响与协调思路——以南京市为例

Interactive Effects and Coordination Ideas between Population Structure and Industrial Structure——Taking Nanjing as an Example

人口结构与产业结构之间存在复杂的互动影响。人口结构既可能通过劳动力供给增加、优化产业集群环境对产业结构调整产生正向影响,也可能通过增加决策难度和风险强度制约产业结构调整。产业结构调整也会对人口性别结构、年龄结构和空间结构等产生深刻影响。要实现二者的协调互动必须双管齐下,一方面,优化人口干预引导机制,促进人口结构持续优化。一是走出数据指标陷阱,从新生人口和流动人口两个角度优化性别结构;二是扬弃劳动力优势陷阱,审慎优化人口年龄结构;三是抛开就业歧见,合理优化人口就业结构。另一方面,优化产业扶持升级机制,促进产业结构持续优化。一是实施创新驱动战略,引领产业升级发展;二是培育特色产业集群,提高就业吸纳能力;三是扶持老幼服务产业,优化产品和服务供给。

Population structure and the industrial structure between the complex interaction.Population structure not only be through the labor supply increase,optimize the industrial cluster environment on the industrial structure adjustment produce positive influence,but also may by increasing the decision difficulty and risk intensity restrict the adjustment of industrial structure.Industrial structure adjustment for population gender structure,age structure and spatial structure have a profound effect.In order to realize the coordination interaction must work along both lines,on the one hand,optimizing the population intervention guide mechanism,promote the population structure continuous optimization,on the other hand,to optimize industry support upgrade mechanism,promote industrial structure continuously optimize.