政府规模、劳动—资源密集型产业与生产服务业发展滞后:机理与实证研究

Government Scale,Labor-Resource Intensive Industries and Development Lags of Producer Services:Mechanism and Empirical Research

本文构建一个包括知识-技术密集型生产服务业部门的三部门内生增长模型．对政府规模非理性膨胀及劳动一资源密集型产业的扩张侵蚀生产服务业发展进行了探索性解释。均衡分析的基本结论：政府规模非理性膨胀、劳动一资源密集型产业及二者耦合直接或间接侵蚀生产服务业发展．为需求不足论和供给不足论等观点提供了深层次解释．以1980--2009年OECD数据运用静态面板和动态面板估计检验了理论命题，针对中国生产服务业发展徘徊不前的现状提出政策思路。

By building up a three-sector endogenous growth model including knowledge-and technology intensive producer services, this paper exploring explains the mechanism that the irrational expansion of government scale and the expansion of the labor-and resource intensive industries erode the development of producer services. This paper concludes that the irrational expansion of government scale and the labor-and resource intensive industries and their coupling effect maybe erode the development of producer services directly or indirectly, which provides profound interpretation for the view of insufficient demand and insufficient supply. This paper verifies these theoretical propositions by using the static panel and dynamic panel model with 1980--2009 OECD data, policy proposals are made aiming at the current situation of lingering and no headway of Chinese producer services.