摘要
结合Kaya恒等式和IPAT模型,确认了经济发展水平是影响二氧化碳排放的首要因素,并将化石能源细分为17种(考虑了水泥生产),估算了1997-2010年各省的二氧化碳排放指标,分别从省际、东中西部、八大经济区域视角,利用脱钩指数和CKC方法进行了实证研究。结果表明:中国地区经济发展与C02排放并未实现脱钩;对于人均CO2排放量,大部分地区存在CKC,但基本上都未达到拐点,也就是处于上升阶段;对于CO2排放强度,大部分地区存在u形曲线;CKC在中国的适用性有待于进一步的观察。
This paper confirms that economic development plays a key role in regional carbon dioxide emissions. Using decou- plod index and Carbon Kuznets Curve, the authors make an empirical research on regional economic development and carbon dioxide emissions from the three perspectives of provincial-level, east-central-west, and the eight economic regions. The results indicate Chi- nese regional economic development and carbon dioxide emissions have not realized decoupling; most regions have Carbon Kuznets Curve, which basically did not reach the inflection point i.e. was upswing, towards per capita carbon dioxide emissions; while these regions almost showed U-shaped curve to carbon dioxide emission intensity; applicability of Carbon Kuznets Curve needs further analysis in China.
出处
《山西财经大学学报》
CSSCI
北大核心
2013年第1期8-18,共11页
Journal of Shanxi University of Finance and Economics
基金
国家自然科学基金重点项目"天然气资源的经济安全重大问题与对策研究"(71133007)
教育部新世纪优秀人才支持计划"经济不平等与环境质量"(NCET-10-0883)