福建省资本积累、创新与经济增长:修正的熊彼特增长模型

Capital Accumulation,Innovation and Economic Growth in Fujian:Revised Schumpeterian Growth Model

回顾熊彼特增长模型和修正的熊彼特增长模型的主要内容,利用1987～2009年的物质资本、人力资本、创新和经济增长数据和向量误差修正模型,基于修正的熊彼特增长模型实证研究福建省资本积累、创新与经济增长的相关关系。结论是,当前福建省的经济增长特点接近宇泽—卢卡斯经济的特点,经济中只有人力资本积累,而没有创新。据此提出增强创新对经济增长作用的政策建议。

The revised Schumpeterian growth model proposes that capital accumulation and innovation are both determinants of economic growth. The model can fit the real economic growth better than other economic growth models. The main contents of both Schumpeterian growth model and revised Schumpeterian growth model are reviewed. Using the data of physical capital, human capital, innovation and economic growth from 1987 to 2009 and vector error correction model, the relationship between capital accumulation, innovation and economic growth in Fujian is empirically studied based on the revised Schumpeterian growth model. The conclusions are that the characteristics of current economic growth of Fujian are close to Uzawa- Lucas economy, and only human capital accumulation but no innovation in economy. Then policy suggestions are put forward to enhance the role of innovation to economic growth.