我国未来南海政策及维权措施探讨

Discussion on policy and right-safeguarding measures to South China Sea in future

近年来,南海形势日益复杂,区域外大国积极介入,南海周边国家敌对情绪明显,我国南海维权形势严峻。未来一段时间由于亚洲经济迅速发展以及美国战略重心东移等因素影响,南海问题国际化、复杂化、敌对化趋势加剧,但爆发大规模冲突的可能性较小。在此背景下,我国未来南海政策应强调"主权属我,合理开发,有效管理",建议通过强化管控、深化合作、推进油气资源开发、制定发展规划、支持民间开发、引导非官方舆论等若干措施维护南海权益。

In recent years, the situation of South China Sea is becoming increasingly complex, including proactive intervention by major countries outside the region, obvious hostility from surrounding countries. The situation is grim for China to safeguard sovereignty of South China Sea. In the future, influenced by the rapid development of Asian economy and the eastward stratagem center of US, South China Sea Issue will becomes more internationalization, complication and hostility, but less possibility to break out big scale conflict. Then, authors suggested the future policy should emphasize ＂sovereignty belongs to China, reasonable development and effective administration＂, and also suggested measures to safeguard sovereignty of South China Sea were proposed based on the perspective of development and management, which include strengthening management and control, deepening cooperation, impelling oil and gas exploitation, drawing up development planning, supporting private development, guiding unofficial opinions and so on.