基于多因素灰色模型的工业产业与物流需求耦合性研究

Study on Coupling of Manufacturing Industry and Logistics Demand Based on Multi-factor Gray Model

运用系统论、价值链理论以及多因素灰色预测模型对工业园总产值与物流需求的耦合性关系进行研究,揭示工业产业与物流需求之间的耦合机理与规律,为工业与物流的高效协调发展与合作提供参考。以贵州省为例选取定量指标进行实证分析,取得了良好的预测效果,验证了模型的实用性与科学性。

In this paper, we used the system theory, value chain theory and multi-factor gray forecasting model to study the coupling of the total production of the industrial park and its logistics demand and uncovered the mechanism and pattern of the coupling between the manufacturing industry and its logistics demand. Finally in the case of Guizhou, we carried out an empirical analysis to demonstrate the prac ticality and scientific nature of the model.