基于最速下降法的北京物流业对本地区经济发展所发挥作用的趋势研究

Study Effect of Logistics Industry on Development of Regional Economy Based on Steepest Descent

为了对物流业对本地区经济发展的作用进行趋势研究,选取北京物流业作为研究对象,采用宏观分析加计量分析的方法对其进行研究。通过宏观分析明晰了北京地区物流业发展的整体态势,通过建立拓展的C-D模型,确定了分析研究的大框架。在此基础上,利用最速下降分析方法,找到了北京物流业的发展趋势,从而对北京地区经济发展展开了有效的趋势预测分析。同时,根据模型分析结果,从政策层面为保障北京物流业和经济发展提出了富有针对性的具体对策和建议。

In this paper, we established an extended C-D model, clarified the overall situation of the development of the logistics industry in Beijing and ascertained the grand framework of the study. On such basis, we used the steepest descent method to identify the trend of the development of the logistics industry in Beijing and then proposed corr-lding countermeasures and suggestions for the development of the logistics industry and regional economy of Beijing.