基于突变级数法与情景分析法的广西CO_2减排研究

On Guangxi's CO_2 Abatement by Using Catastrophe Progression Method and Scenario Analysis Method

依据广西1978—2009年CO2排放的相关指标数据,采用突变级数法对广西1978—2009年CO2减排作出了相关分析评价.在此基础上,运用情景分析法预测不同情景下广西2015年CO2排放,分析不同情景选择对广西CO2排放的影响,以期为广西开展CO2减排提出合理化建议.

Based on related indices from the year 1978 to 2009,using catastrophe progression method,Guangxi＇s CO2 emissions are analyzed and evaluated.By using scenario analysis method,the impact of different scenarios on Guangxi＇s CO2 emissions is analyzed,and Guangxi＇s CO2 emissions of year 2015 are forecasted under different scenarios,in order to make reasonable suggestions for Guangxi＇s CO2 abatement.