基于分阶段的一次指数平滑法的公路客运量预测

Prediction of Highway Passenger Transportation Volume Based on Linear Index Smooth Method with Stage by Stage

基于一次指数平滑法的局限性，提出用分阶段的一次指数平滑法预测公路客运量的方法，实践证明，这种改进的一次指数平滑法具有很好的预测精度。

Because of the limitation of linear index smooth method,the stage by stage method of linear index smooth method is adopted to predict highway passenger transport volume. Practice shows that the improved method is of good accuracy of prediction.