南北贸易对发展中国家森林退化影响的实证分析

Empirical Analysis on the North-South Trade and Forest Degradation in Developing Countries

文章以2000～2010年间63个发展中国家的非人工林面积的退化率为研究对象,构建反映发展中国家与发达国家贸易程度(南北贸易程度)的指标,研究经济增长、人口增长、对外贸易尤其是南北贸易对发展中国家自然资源的影响。实证结果表明,经济增长、人口增长和南北贸易对发展中国家森林资源的退化有促进作用,而对外贸易的影响则不显著。

This paper analyses the degradation rate of non-plantation area of 63 developing countries during the year of 2000 to 2010, builds the indicators of North-South trade level, and studies the influence of economic growth, population growth, foreign trade especially the North-South trade on natural resources in developing countries. The empirical results show that economic growth, popula- tion growth and the North-South trade will promote the degradation of forest resources in developing countries, however, the effect of foreign trade is not significant.