中国茶叶对日出口贸易影响因素分析

Analysis on the impact factors of China's tea export trade to Japan

中国茶叶的出口量增长缓慢,影响茶叶出口贸易的发展。以日本为实例,通过选取人民币对日元汇率、日本茶叶消费量、日本茶叶年产量、日本对茶叶进口标准的修订等因素,运用增广恩格尔-格兰杰(AEG)两步法分析这些因素对中国茶叶出口日本贸易额的长期影响关系,并根据分析结果给出提高中国茶叶出口贸易的建议。

The export volume of Chinese tea grew slowly, affecting the development of tea export. Taking Japan as an example, through the analysis of the exchange rate, the Japanese tea consumption, the Japanese tea annual production, Japan＇s amendments to the standard of tea imports and other factors, the impact of these factors on China＇s tea export volume to Japan is analyzed, based on the two-step method by Engel-Grainger （AEG）. Finally some suggestions about how to improve the trade volume of Chinese tea export are given according to results.