种粮大户售粮方式行为选择及影响因素分析——基于“PT”前景理论和Slogit模型

Empirical Analysis of Influence Factors of Large-scale Grain-production Households' Behavior of Choosing Grain Sales Way——Based on the PT theory and Slogit Model

基于前景理论和黑龙江省地方和垦区460户种粮大户实地调查数据,利用Slogit模型,分析了种粮大户售粮方式行为选择的影响因素。研究结论显示,知识水平(文化程度、种粮总收入、身体状况、农业投入人口)、心智水平(粮食收成状况、现行粮食价格、未来价格预期、承担售粮风险)和主观愿望(通公路、入合作社)等变量对种粮大户售粮方式行为选择有较强的正向作用效应,而社会关系变量(掌握了储粮技术、获得信息的渠道)对种粮大户售粮方式行为选择的影响呈现出显著的负相关关系,充分表明种粮大户自身内在特征等变量对选择售粮方式的行为产生了重要的影响。

This article analyzes influence factors of large-scale grain-production households＇ behavior of choosing grain sales way based on the PT theory and data of investigation to 460 large-scale grain-production households in Heilongjiang with Slogit model.The result shows that the knowledge level,mental level and subjective desire have strong positive effect on their behavior of choosing grain sales way,while social relational variables have significant negative correlation with it.It fully shows that their inherent characteristics have a significant impact on grain sales way.