农产品技术性贸易壁垒对中国出口的影响——基于自贸区视角的实证研究

Technical Barriers to Trade Influence on China's Agricultural Exports——Based on an Empirical Study of Free Trade Areas

笔者利用2002年～2009年我国对东盟、欧盟和北美三大自贸区农产品出口的面板数据,建立引力模型,分析当前颇为盛行的技术性贸易壁垒对我国农产品出口贸易的影响。结果表明:东盟、欧盟和北美自贸区施行的技术性贸易壁垒对我国农产出口具有显著的负面效应,弹性系数分别为-0.146、-0.110和-0.087。在技术性贸易壁垒的影响趋势和影响程度逐渐趋同的情况下,靠"出口市场多元化"绕开技术性贸易壁垒已很难奏效,必须实现正面突破。

The paper studies the influence of technical barriers to China＇ s agricultural exports trade by analyzing China to ASEAN, EU and North America＇ s agricultural exports panel data from 2002 to 2009 with gravity model. It is found that technical barriers to trade from three free＇trade areas have significant negative effects on China＇ s agricultural export with the elastic coefficients respectively -0.146, -0.110 and -0.087.