基于GIS的政和县锥栗种植地的可持续利用分析

The analysis for sustainable use of castanea henry planting in Zhenghe county based on GIS

基于GIS对政和县锥栗种植地的适宜性进行评价.在此基础上,采用线性回归模型对政和县锥栗种植地的面积和产量进行预测,为锥栗种植地的可持续利用提供科学依据.结果表明,政和县适宜锥栗种植的土地面积有71 537.54 hm^2,占土地总面积的41.71%,主要分布于东平、石屯、镇前和澄源等乡镇;锥栗种植的土地需求量呈上升趋势,未来20年内政和县适宜锥栗种植土地的供给量能够满足其种植的需求;加强锥栗种植地可持续利用管理.

Evaluating the land suitability of castanea henry gardens planting in Zhenghe county based on GIS. On this basis, adopting the linear regression model to forecasting the land area and production of castanea henry gardens planting, providing the scientific basis for the sustainable use of land of castanea henry gardens planting in Zhenghe county. The results show that, the castanea henry suitable planting land area in Zhenghe county is 71 537.54 hm2, accounting for 41.71% of the total land area and mainly spreading over the villages and towns such as Dongping, Shitun, Zhenqian and Dengyuan etc. The demand for the land use of castanea henry planting will be increasing and the supply of the land suitability of castanea henry planting in Zhenghe county can meet the planting demand in the next two decades. Strengthen the sustainable use management of castanea henry gardens planting.