区域低碳经济发展水平测度研究——山东省实证

The Regional Low-carbon Economic Development Measure Research——Taking Shandong Province as a Case

文章在明确低碳经济内涵的基础上,构建了以低碳经济、低碳社会、低碳资源与环境为系统的指标体系,并以山东省为例应用模糊层次分析法进行实证分析,评价了山东省2005-2010年低碳经济发展现状。由于影响二氧化碳排放的因素具有时间和截面双重属性,文章通过面板数据分析了影响山东省低碳经济发展水平的几个重要因素。计量分析结果显示,山东省二氧化碳排放呈现出一定的路径依赖,且与经济增长存在典型的库兹涅茨曲线关系。

This paper defines the connotation of low carbon economy, builds an indicator system with low carbon economy, low carbon society, low carbon resources and environment as the systems, makes an empirical analysis with fuzzy analytic hierarchy process with Shandong Province as the case, and evaluates the development of low carbon economy in 2005-2010 in Shandong Province. Due to the dual attributes of time and section of the factors influ- encing carbon dioxide emission, the article analyzes the several major factions influencing low carbon economy in Shandong province through panel data. Quantitative analysis shows that carbon emission in Shandong province presents certain path dependence and has a typical Kuznets curve relationship with economic growth.