摘要
文章基于改进的C-D生产函数构建动态计量模型,利用中国1992-2011年的30个省市的面板数据及系统GMM估计方法,验证了资本集聚与经济增长间的非线性关系的存在性,并对计量模型进行修正建立了门槛回归模型,进行了门限回归,结果表明:资本集聚与经济增长间存在单一门槛值,而且资本集聚水平与交易成本存在此消彼长的关系。据此结论提出政策建议:我国东部沿海地区部分制造业行业资本集聚过度,应该进行资本流向管理及政策引导,让过剩资本流向周边及西部资本相对短缺的地区;中西部落后地区应该创造有利条件,增强资本集聚的动力,充分利用资本集聚的积极效应加快经济增长;同时应该对各种集聚资本的质量加强考核与监管。
This paper firstly constructed a dynamic econometrics model based on the improved C-D production function, then testified the nonlinear relationship between eapital agglomeration and economic growth by using the panel data from 1992 to 2011. This paper also revised the former model and established a threshold regression model in order to testify the threshold effect between them. The empirical results showed that there exists a single threshoht value between capital agglomeration and economic growth, and that there is a reciprocal relationship between capital agglomeration level and transaction cost. Finally, this paper put forward some policy suggestions according to the threshohl value.
出处
《山东财政学院学报》
2013年第1期115-120,F0003,共7页
Journal of Shandong Finance Institute
基金
教育部人文社科青年基金项目"中国外贸技术结构变迁与制造业部门增长的差异性研究"(09YJC790175)
关键词
资本集聚
经济增长
门槛效应
交易成本
非线性关系
capital agglomeration
economic growth
threshold effect
transaction cost
nonlinear relationship