农业生产:科技存量与空间溢出——基于1986—2010年空间面板数据的分析

Agricultural Production:Accumulation of Science and Technology and the Spatial Spillover A Research Based on the Spatial Panel Data between 1986-2010

本文运用我国28个省份1986—2010年的面板数据对农业科技与农业生产的关系进行了空间计量分析。研究表明:(1)我国农业生产存在显著的空间效应;(2)农业科技对农业生产存在显著的正向促进作用,而且农业科技存在明显的空间溢出效应。基于研究结论,本文提出了整合各区域生产资源、加大农业科技投入等政策建议。

This paper empirically studies the relationship of stock of agricuhural research and agriculture, using spatial panel data of 28 provinces of China among 1986-2010. We reach conclusions as follows：（ 1 ） there is significant spatial effects of agriculture. （2） there is significantly positive effects of agricultural research to agriculture, and effects of spillover as well. Based on the conclusion, we propose some advices, such as integration of resources and increasing investment for agricultural re- search and so on.