海合会对外关系的政策逻辑考察

A Study on the Policy-making Logic in the GCC’s Foreign Relations

安全利益与发展利益成为海合会对外关系的两大目标,是其制定对外政策的隐性逻辑。30多年来海合会的对外关系发展具有一定规律性,即当国际和地区环境恶化时,成员国倾向于用一个声音说话,并在安全领域形成密切合作、构筑"安全共同体";当外部局势趋于缓和时,海合会则朝着经济一体化的目标迈进,发展问题上升为地区合作的重要议题,构筑"经济共同体"成为成员国努力方向。在海合会区域安全和经济整合过程中,当个体利益与整体利益趋同时,其对外政策往往产生较好效果,反之则效率低下,2008年以来的全球经济危机和2010年底以来的中东剧变就是例证。中国应把握好海合会对外关系演变的基本逻辑,在政治安全与经贸发展两大领域提升与海合会战略关系。

The GCC pursues its interests of both security and development in its foreign relations. These two main objectives declare the GCC＇s foreign policy-making logic. Over the last 30 years, the GCC and its members have followed a certain path. They speak in one voice and try to build a security community in face of the bad regional environment, while they make their efforts to practice the economic integration when the intensive external situation is easing. On the other hand, the individual interests of the members have shown their interactions with the collective interests of the GCC. The global economic crisis since 2008 saw the positive influence but the recent Middle East Turmoil proved the opposite effect. China should study and seize the basic logic illustrated above and promote its strategic relationship with the GCC.