成员偏好对海合会经济一体化的影响

Influences of Members’ Preference on the Economic Integration of the GCC

成员偏好是影响制度设计和制度变迁的主要变量之一。根据行为目的的不同,成员偏好类型可以分为风险规避型和效益优先型。不同的偏好类型对制度演化的影响存在差异。在海合会的历史上,风险规避与效益优先构成了影响一体化的矛盾关系。基于风险规避的偏好,海合会在制度设计上具有排他性,对组织规模的扩大极为审慎,而基于效益优先的偏好,海合会在经济一体化程度上不断向纵深发展。

Members＇ preference is one of the main variables that affect the design of a system and institutional change. According to the purpose of an action, members＇ preference can be classified into two categories： risk aversion and priority to interest. Different types of preferences have different impacts on the improvement of the system. In the history of the GCC, risk aversion and priority to interests have been in contradiction to influence the regional economic integration. With regard to risk aversion, the GCC was exclusive in the design of the system and prudent in expansion of the organization. However, in view of priority to interest, the GCC continued to develop in the degree of economic integration.