外商直接投资对江苏省进出口贸易影响的实证分析

An Empirical Analysis of the FDI Impact on the International Trade of Jiangsu Province

利用最小二乘估计法(OLS),加入虚拟变量,对江苏省1991到2010年FDI存量与对外贸易量、对外贸易依存度进行分析,结果显示:江苏省实际利用外商直接投资存量对进出口贸易额的增长有积极的促进作用,入世后显著大于入世前,但美国次级贷款危机后有负的作用;外商直接投资存量对提高江苏省贸易依存度有积极的促进作用,入世后显著大于入世前,但美国次贷危机后出现了显著的反向影响作用。

This article, by using the Ol.b method, empmcauy analyzes the FDI stock, international , trade volume and the dependence on foreign trade in Jiangsu province from 1991 to 2010. The results indicate that the actual use of FDI stock had positive stimulation to the increase of international trade in Jiangsu province, which was more obvious after China＇s entry to WTO than before. However, that stimulation after the subprime crisis was negative; FDI stock also had positive stimulation to the increase of the Jiangsu province dependence on foreign trade, which was also more obvious after China＇s entry to WTO than before. But after the subprime crisis, the stimulation became obviously negative.