内蒙古自治区典型城市环境库兹涅茨曲线实证研究

Empirical study of environmental Kuznets curve in Inner Mongolia typical city

本文以内蒙古自治区典型城市(呼和浩特市、包头市、鄂尔多斯市、锡林郭勒盟)1999年-2010年环境与经济数据为支撑,从时间尺度定量分析呼和浩特市、包头市、鄂尔多斯市、锡林郭勒盟经济发展与工业主要污染物排放总量之间的耦合规律。结果显示,内蒙古自治区经济发展与工业主要污染物排放总量之间的耦合规律受经济发展战略、环境政策影响明显,与社会经济发展相关性较差,不符合环境库兹涅茨曲线基于经济高度发展后取得的环境污染改善的理论。各盟市污染物排放总量的减少、环境取得改善的决定因素是政府经济发展战略的转变。

This article is bassed on the environmental and economic data of the typical city （ Hohhot City, Baotou City, Xilinguole City, Erdos City, 1999 - 2010 ） of Inner Mongolia ,quantitative analysis the coupling laws between economy development and industrial emis- sions of major pollutants from the time scales. The results showes that, the coupling laws between the economy development and industrial e- missions of major pollutants of Inner Mongolia is significantly affected by the economic development strategies and environmental policies, and it showes poor correlationes with socio - economic development, at the same time it does not comply with the theoretical of the Environmental Kuznets Curve＂ the nvironmental pollution will be ameliorated when the economy is highly developed＂. The decrease of total discharge of pollutants and the improvement of the environment are both determinated by the transformation of the economic development strategies of each alliance city .