粮食主产区惠农政策实施绩效实证研究——以江西省为例

Implementation Effect of Farmers-Benefiting Policies in Major Grain Producing Areas——An Empirical Research Based on Data from Jiangxi Province

实施强农惠农政策,增强农业的社会供养功能,保障国家粮食安全,是进入工业化中期阶段之后我国的一项重大政策。以13个粮食主产区之一的江西为考察对象,运用灰色关联分析模型、投入产出模型以及DEA分析法分析粮食主产区惠农政策的实施效果。结果表明:(1)"黄箱"政策中的粮食直补、良种补贴对江西省农业反哺效果明显;(2)间接反哺在江西省反哺力度小且反哺效果欠佳;(3)农民人均纯收入的增加与农业产值的增加高度正相关。据此,提出相关政策建议:(1)用足"黄箱"政策,加大直接惠农力度;(2)大力推进农业产业化经营,积极开展间接反哺;(3)合理分配反哺资金,实现效率最大化。

Implementing the policies favorable to farmers,increasing the social supporting function of agriculture,and ensuring the country＇s food supply is an important strategy after China stepped into the middle stage of the industrialization.Various nurturing ways in Jiangxi Province were examined to demonstrate which is the most efficient.The demonstration took respectively the analytical method of Gray Relevance Model;input-output model,and DEA analysis,and put forward some strategic measures for the return-nurture.The result shows that：（1） direct food subsidies and superior grain allowances in Amber box policy have obvious effects on agriculture;（2） indirect subsidies are insufficient and have little influence.（3） a positive correlation exists between farmers＇ net income and production.The suggestions include：（1）making good use of Amber box policy;（2）promoting agricultural industrialization;（3）allocating all the nurturing funds reasonably.