房产税影响居民住房消费选择吗?——基于美国调查数据的实证研究

Does Property Tax Affect Residents′ Housing Demand Choice? An Empirical Test Based on American Statistics

通过建立Heckman模型,采用2002年、2004年和2007年美国都市住房调查数据进行实证分析,考察房产税对美国家庭住宅消费选择的影响。结果表明:在住宅权属选择方面,房产税具有负的影响效应;社会经济地位较高的家庭,更倾向于拥有住宅;随着单位面积上房产税税额的提高,具有较低社会经济地位的家庭,其住宅权属需求受到房产税的冲击更小。在住宅消费需求方面,房产税的影响效应显著为负,且对美国不同类型的家庭住宅消费需求的影响效应存在显著的收入水平差异:社会经济地位较高的家庭有更高的住宅消费偏好,随着单位面积上房产税税额的提高,其住宅消费需求受到的影响相对较小。

This paper establishes Heckman model and empirically analyzes the impact of property tax on family＇s housing demand choice by adopting American Housing Survey data in 2002, 2004 and 2007. The results show that property tax has a negative effect on housing tenure choice; Families with higher social -economic statuses prefer to own private housing, while property tax has weaker impact on families with lower social -economic statuses. In terms of housing demand, property tax has negative effects and affects family＇s housing demand differently： families with higher social-economic statuses have higher demand for housing, and property tax has a weaker impact on these families.