入境旅游对中国区域经济发展的溢出效应分析

Analysis of the Spillover Effect on Inbound Tourism to China's Regional Economic Development

通过国外游客的旅游消费带动地区经济的增长是旅游刺激经济的一种溢出效应。以此为基础,通过构建国外游客入境旅游消费与地区经济增长关系的面板数据模型进行实证分析,结果发现:不同地区的外国游客入境旅游消费对经济增长具有不同的溢出效应,这种溢出效应能促进北京、河北、内蒙古、安徽、广东、四川、贵州和新疆等省市的经济发展,但却恶化了天津、上海、重庆、云南、陕西和甘肃等省市的经济发展。笔者最后提出了促进国外游客入境旅游消费对地区经济增长拉动作用的建议。

How to driven economic growth in the region ＇ s by foreign tourist consumption it ＇ s a spillover effect on economic stimulated by tourism.On this basis,this paper had an empirical analysis on the relationship between foreign tourist consumption and economic growth by using panel data model.the results showed that the different regions of the inbound tourism consumption had different spillover effect on economic growth,which could promoted the economic development on Beijing,Hebei,Inner Mongolia,Anhui,Guangdong,Sichuan,Guizhou and Xinjiang and other provinces,but it had also deteriorated the development of economic in Tianjin,Shanghai,Chongqing,Yunnan,Shaanxi and Gansu Provinces.Finally this paper put forward some suggestions on how to promote the foreign tourist consumption on economic growth by combination with the empirical results.