我国国际旅游业发展影响因素探析——基于空间差异视角

An Analysis on Influencing Factors of Chinese Inbound Tourism Development——A Spatial Econometric View

文章利用空间计量模型研究了中国31个省市的国际旅游产出与GDP、接待入境旅游人数、交通状况、旅行社和住宿环境之间的关系。实证结果表明:在影响一地区国际旅游产出的众多因素中,只有接待入境旅游人数和交通状况对国际旅游业发展具有显著性影响,而当地经济发展水平和当地星级宾馆数量对国际旅游产出的影响并不显著。同时也发现,我国国际旅游业是一个规模报酬递增的产业,具有广阔的发展前景。

This paper takes a spatial econometric model to study the relationship about inbound tourism income, GDP, inbound tourists, traffic, travel agencies and accommodation among 31 provinces of China. The empirical results show that inbound tourists and traffic have a significant influence in the inbound tourism income of a certain region, but the level of local economic development and the number of great hotels do not. At the same time, we also conclude that China＇s inbound tourism industry is an industry with increasing return to scale, and has broad prospects for development.