预期对我国城镇居民主观幸福感的影响

The Impact of Anticipation on Happiness of Urban Residents in China

本文采用2006年中国综合社会调查数据(CGSS2006)研究预期对我国城镇居民主观幸福感的影响。实证分析发现:在控制了个体特征、经济特征和生活满意度后,收入状况的未来预期、资产的未来预期、职位升迁的未来预期和工作条件的未来预期均对居民的幸福感存在显著的正向效应。本文进一步研究发现:预期对主观幸福感的影响具有明显的群体差异。女性更看重收入和资产增加的未来预期,男性更看重职位升迁和工作条件改善的未来预期。而相对于未受过高等教育的人群,未来预期对受过高等教育的人群更重要。

Using China General Social Survey data in 2006（CGSS2006）, this paper em- pirically analyzes the impact of anticipation on happiness of urban residents in China. The empirical results show that the anticipation to income, assets, job promotion and working conditions have significantly positive effects on individual happiness, after controlling in- dividual characteristics, income status, and life satisfaction. This paper further examines the group difference, and finds that women pay more attention to the higher future incomes and assets, while men pay more attention to the promotion of the job position and working conditions. Besides, anticipation is more important to highly educated people than others.