摘要
文章在分析中国海岛县(区)经济发展现状的基础上,运用偏离—份额分析法对12个海岛县(区)的产业结构演变规律、特点和趋势进行研究;通过标准差和变异系数表现出各个海岛县(区)总体规模差异及其变动情况;运用位序规模、聚类中迭代和聚类分析方法对海岛县(区)产业的空间格局分析。发现海岛县(区)的产业空间格局在原有单核心模式下,一产和二产单核心格局向多核心格局转变并呈现明显的"俱乐部趋同"现象,三产将成为未来产业规划和产业空间布局调整的重点。
On the basis of the analysis and comparison of the 12 island counties （districts） of China, firstly, this paper analyzes the industrial structure evolution, the characteristics and the research trend of the 12 island counties （districts） by using shift-share analysis; then through the clear percentage chart of the standard deviation and variation coefficient it shows the overall size of the differences and changes of the island counties （districts）; finally, by the methods of the sequence scale and the clustering of iterative clustering （K-means） analysis of the 12 island counties（districts）, it founds that the industrial space pattem of the primary industry and the secondary industry is changing from the original single-core mode to the pattern of multi-core mode, and spatial layout shows obvious phenomenon of ＂club convergence＂, and the tertiary industry may become the focus of the industry panning and industrial layout adjustment in the near future.
出处
《改革与战略》
2013年第1期69-75,共7页
Reformation & Strategy
基金
教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大培育项目:我国海岛旅游开发与管理研究(项目编号:2012JDPY02)
中国海洋发展研究中心重大专项:我国滨海旅游环境承载力预警研究(项目编号:AOCOUC201103)
