工资变动对我国服务贸易与货物贸易竞争力的影响

Wages influencing on Competitiveness of Chinese Service and Goods Trade

近年来,我国物价上涨十分明显,要求增加工资的呼声不断高涨,但有人担心涨工资可能会导致我国外贸国际竞争力下降,进而会影响经济增长。在此背景下,本文实证分析工资变动对我国服务贸易、一般贸易与加工贸易竞争力的影响,以期为政府部门决策提供参考。本文的研究结论是:从长期看,工资增长有利于提升我国外贸竞争力。从短期情况看出,一方面,工资增长对我国服务贸易与一般贸易竞争力产生一定的冲击,但不久,这种冲击会转变为正面影响;另一方面,工资增长对我国加工贸易有正面影响,但其正面影响会逐渐减小,并转化为微弱的负面影响。

Voice of Chinese asking for a raise in wages is rising because of the price being increasing rapidly in China recently,but some persons concern about that the raise in wages may take side effects on the competitiveness of Chinese foreign trade and growth of economy.In this context,wages influencing on competitiveness of Chinese service trade,general trade and processing trade are empirically analyzed in this paper in order to provide reference to Chinese government.The research results are as follows: In long term,rise of wages takes positive effects on the competitiveness of Chinese service trade,general trade and processing trade.In short term,the rise of wages takes negative effects on the competitiveness of the service trade and general trade,but the effects gradually decrease and turn to positive effects on their competitiveness.By comparison,the rise of wages takes positive effect on the competitiveness of the processing trade,the effect disappears in short time and turns to negative effect on its competitiveness.