资源枯竭型城市农业可持续发展定量评价——以辽宁省阜新市为例

A CASE STUDY ON FUXIN,LIAOLING PROVINCE: QUANTITATIVE EVALUATION ON AGRICULTURAL SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN RESOURCES-EXHAUSTED CITY

通过建立资源枯竭型城市阜新农业可持续发展评价指标体系,利用2001—2010年的统计数据,采用主成分分析法对阜新农业可持续发展状况进行定量评价,并在此基础上,提出加快区域农业可持续发展的对策。结果表明,阜新农业经济、资源、社会、科技子系统及农业综合可持续发展能力呈现持续增强的趋势;受自然灾害的影响,2003年、2006年阜新农业生产子系统可持续发展能力较上一年有所减弱之外,其他年份均表现良好;阜新农业环境子系统可持续发展能力呈现持续减弱的趋势。据此,建议加大环境污染综合治理力度,建立资源节约型、环境友好型农业生产体系,完善气象灾害监测预警体系。

By establishment of an evaluation index system, this paper quantitatively evaluates the sustainable development of resources-exhausted city Fuxin＇s agriculture with the statistics from 2001 --2010, by the method of principal component analysis, and proposed approaches to promoting the sustainable development of Fuxin＇s agriculture. The results show that the capacity of sustainable development in its agriculture economy, resource, society, science and synthetic agriculture is enhanced. With an exception of 2003 and 2006, the sustainability of agriculture production sub-system is good. The sustainability of agriculture environment subsystem becomes worse and worse. Therefore, it is suggested that we should make greater efforts against environmental pollution, establish resource-saving and environment-friendly agricultural production system and optimize disaster alarm system.