对中国—智利自由贸易区贸易效应的引力模型分析

Analysis on the Trade Effect of China-Chile Free Trade Zone by Gravity Model

近年来,区域经济一体化的进程不断加快,这是世界经济发展的必然结果。随着中国与拉丁美洲经贸关系的不断发展,中国已和智利、秘鲁和哥斯达黎加三个拉美国家签订了自由贸易协定,为双方的贸易带来了可观的收益,极大地推动了中国参与区域经济一体化的进程。本文在综述国内外相关文献的基础上,以中国与智利的自由贸易协定为例,采用引力模型,定量研究两国的经济一体化程度以及区域经济一体化所创造的贸易效应。

In recent years, the process of regional economic integration has continued to accelerate, which is the inevitable result of the development of world economy. Along with the development of economic and trade relations be- tween China and Latin America, China has signed a free trade agreement with three Latin American countries- Chile, Peru and Costa Rica, which has brought considerable income for both sides of the trade, and greatly promoted the pro- cess of China＇ s participation in regional economic integration. On the basis of the reviews on the related literature at home and abroad, this paper adopts the Free Trade Agreement between China and Chile as an example, to study quantita- tively the economic integration between the two countries as well as the trade ef- fect created by the regional economic integration, by using the gravity model.