当代气候的时间序列分析和模式特征

Time Series Analysis and Model Features of Modern Climate

本文提出了一个近似描述当代气候的离散模式,考察了当代气候的演化趋势,论述了“三成份”模式和气候层次理论之间的一些联系。并讨论了“检测”三次方时间序列模式的一些特性,揭示了当代气候的演化和突变的一些数学机制。

A discrete model which describes modern climate roughly is presented in this paper. Then,we study the trend of modern climatic evolution and the relations between the climatic hierarchial theory and the three-component model. Finally, some mathematical mechanisms about climatic evolution and climatic catastrophe are discovered by studying the features of a censcored cubic time series model.