甘肃省区域经济增长差异的实证分析——基于动态偏离份额法

Empirical Analysis on the Differences of Economic Growth in Gansu Province:Based on Dynamic Shift-share Analysis

本文采用动态偏离份额分析法,以甘肃省地级行政区域作为研究省内经济差异的空间单元,选取各地区2004—2010年三次产业的地区生产总值数据作为样本数据,对甘肃省内地区间区域经济增长差异进行了实证分析。在此基础上,采用聚类分析,根据各地区三次产业的产业结构和区位因素对经济增长的贡献,将甘肃省14个地区分为6类地区,进行了对比分析。通过实证分析,以期对甘肃省各地区经济增长的优势及劣势做出科学判断,为制定产业政策提供科学的依据。

In this paper,a dynamic shift-share analysis model has been created,and the model applied to obtain the difference between the industrial structure data ,focusing on an analysis of the structure of major industries among the 14 regions in Gansu. On this basis, this paper put forward the main path of the upgrading of industrial structure and to promote economic growth.