基于随机兰彻斯特理论的舰载机空战效能分析

Study of Air Combat Efficiency of Carrier-borne Fighter Based on Stochastic Lanchester Battle Theory

针对舰载战斗机空战作战过程建模复杂,作战效能评估困难的现状,论文提出了一种基于随机兰彻斯特作战理论的舰载机空战作战效能评估方法。首先对空战模拟的现状和随机兰彻斯特作战理论进行了介绍,分析了舰载战斗机空战效能分析存在的问题。其次,构建了基于随机兰彻斯特方程的舰载机空战系统模型,对舰载战斗机空战系统的状态转移进行了详细描述,构建了舰载机空战系统的演化方程,给出了舰载机空战系统演化方程求解方法。最后应用实例验证了模型的有效性。仿真结果表明,提升舰载战斗机武器系统的毁伤目标能力,对于提升舰载战斗机作战效能具有重要意义。

Facing the complexity of carrier-borne fighter operational processing modeling and the difficulty of operational effectiveness e- valuation ,it studies the air combat efficiency of carrier-borne fighter based on stochastic lanchester battle theory. Firstly the stochastic lan- chester battle theory is introduced. Secondly, the air fight system model based on stochastic lanchester equation is present, and the states of engagement system are defined ,and the evolution equations are put forward. Corresponding examples are given to verify the model pro- posed. The simulation results showed that improvement of kill capability of airborne firepower system is the key factor of the acquiring campaign superiority.