自主创新、吸收能力与工业结构升级——基于广西1987—2010年数据的实证研究

The Relationship Between Independent Innovation,Absorptive Capacity and Upgrade of Industrial Structure:An Empirical Study on Data of Guangxi from 1987 to 2010

运用VAR模型,选取广西1987—2010年的时间序列数据,实证研究了自主创新能力、吸收能力与工业结构升级之间的关系。结果表明,三者之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系,自主创新能力和吸收能力是广西工业结构升级的格兰杰原因;从长期看,两者对广西工业结构升级都具有促进作用,且自主创新能力对工业结构升级的影响更为明显。广西各级政府为此应该采取相关对策,促进工业行业自主创新能力和吸收能力的提升。

By applying the VAR model,the authors carry out an empirical study on the relationship between independent innovation capacity,absorptive capacity and upgrade of industrial structure based on the time series data from 1987 to 2010.The result shows that a long-term and stable equilibrium relation among them.Independent innovation capacity and absorptive capacity is the Granger reason for Guangxi＇s upgrade of industrial structure.In the long term,both of them can prompt Guangxi＇s upgrade of industrial structure,especially independent innovation capacity.Therefore,the governments at all levels in Guangxi should take relevant measures to promote the capacity of independent innovation and absorption in industry.