基于贝叶斯方法的导弹维修性试验与评定研究

Missile Maintainability Test and Evaluation Based on Bayes Method

针对维修性试验评定方法需要较多试验样本量,在实际工程中难以应用的问题,提出基于贝叶斯理论的平均修复时间验证方法,就其中的总体分布确定、样本量的计算、判决准则和验前信息与现场信息的一致性检验问题进行了研究。结果表明,应用该方法可以用较少现场样本量完成维修性指标的检验。

Aiming at the problem that maintainability test and ev in practice due to a large number of test samples, a method based on （MTTR）, the consistence between the determination of population d aluation methods are difficult to use Bayes theory of mean time to repair istribution, calculation of test quantum,rule of adjudge and the prior information related to field test information are studied. Results indicate that maintainability index inspection can be completed by using less locale samples with this method.