合作对农户生产决策影响的博弈分析

Game Analysis of the Influence on Farmer Household's Decision-Making in Production by Cooperation

讨论了合作对农户生产决策的影响作用。结果表明:由于合作使农户具有规模效应,因此合作生产比独立生产更有利于农户获得较高的利润;但是在合作时,应调整好相互之间的利润分配比例,因为利润分配比例的大小对均衡产量以及均衡利润都有影响。当参与人为了追求自身利润的最大化而片面地提高自身的产量时,会造成系统的最优值的偏离。模型的结果可以推广到多个有限理性农户之间的合作竞争情形。

The thesis discusses the effect of the cooperation on farmer household＇ s production decision-making. The re- suits indicate that cooperation brings about the farmers scale-effect and, thus to produce in a cooperative way can be more favorable than independent production for farmers to obtain more income. What should be noticed, however, is that farmers are expected to coordinate their distributive ration of profits in that it influences both the equitable production and equitable profits. When people involved in this cooperation one-sidedly increase their production volume only in the pur- suit of their own profits, the stability of the whole system will be affected. The model results can be generalized to the case between more farmers with limited rationality.