汇率、工资和经济增长对我国FDI流入的影响——基于全国与地区层面的实证检验被引量：6

The Effects of Exchange Rate,Wages and Economic Growth on Chinas FDI Inflows——An Empirical Study Based on the National and Regional Level

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摘要本文首先采用1983-2010年的全国总体数据,构建向量误差修正模型,实证研究汇率、工资和经济增长对外商直接投资流入影响的长期均衡与短期动态关系。从检验结果来看,人民币升值和工资上涨无论长短期内均会抑制FDI流入,而经济增长会促进FDI流入;汇率和经济增长为外商直接投资单向的Granger原因,而工资和外商直接投资之间不存在Granger因果关系。同时,通过对1990-2010年各地区面板数据的实证研究发现,人民币升值对东北地区FDI流入的影响最小,其影响程度远小于平均水平;工资上涨对东部FDI流入的影响最小;经济增长对中部、西部和东北地区FDI流入的影响程度均大于平均水平,而对东部FDI流入的影响程度小于平均水平。

作者刘刚胡增正

机构地区广东商学院

出处《中央财经大学学报》 CSSCI 北大核心 2013年第2期86-90,96,共6页 Journal of Central University of Finance & Economics

基金国家社会科学基金项目"金融危机后人民币汇率大国博弈及中国对策研究"(编号:11CGJ009) 广东省哲学社科规划项目"后危机时代人民币汇率的大国博弈与中国的对策"(编号:GD10YYJ07) 广东省千百十工程第六批人才培养项目广东商学院金融市场投融资研究创新团队项目资助

关键词汇率工资经济增长外商直接投资

分类号 F124 [经济管理—世界经济]

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