人口流动与安徽省经济发展的灰色关联度分析

Gray Relational Degree Analysis of the Floating Population and Economic Development in Anhui Province

近年来,劳动力要素与经济发展之间的关系始终是经济学研究者们关注的焦点.安徽省作为我国中部地区重要省份之一,其劳动力资源十分充足,同时也是我国劳动力输出大省.文章利用安徽省17个地级市的相关数据,通过灰色关联度分析方法进行研究.结果表明:人口流入对安徽省经济发展显示出很高的相关性,人口流出对安徽省经济发展的贡献较低,市内人口流动对安徽省经济发展的拉动力居于其间.因此,安徽省应该进一步加大人才引进力度,鼓励外出人口返乡创业或就业,建立健全区域内人口流动的配套措施,以促进经济又好又快发展.

In recent years, the relationship between the factor of labor and economic development has always been the focus of the economics researchers. Anhui province, one of the important provinces in the middle area of China, is abundant of its labor re- sources, and also one of China＇s labor export provinces. Exploring the relationship between floating population and economic devel- opment is the main content of this paper. Using the relevant data of 17 cities in Anhui province, through the method of the gray dy- namic relevant analysis, this paper comes to conclusion, which shows that, the inflow of population shows a high level of correlation to the economy development of Anhui province, population outflow contributes least to the economic development in Anhui province, inner-city population flow is in the middle. The paper puts forward the countermeasures accordingly： Anhui province should further intensify the introduction of talents, encourage migration people to come back （in business or employment）, and establish and per- fect the regional population mobility supporting policies, so as to ensure a sound and rapid economic development.