世界粮食危机的根源分析

Root-cause an Analysis of Global Food Crisis

2012年全球粮食价格又开始攀升,甚至引发全球粮食危机是否会再度上演之忧。20世纪全球粮食价格的剧烈波动大约以30年为周期,而21世纪前十年全球就已经经历粮食价格频繁上涨的局面。以往对粮食危机原因的定量分析关注市场因素,忽略世界粮食市场背后权力的影响。分析表明,世界粮食市场被支撑世界体系的权力关系影响,国际粮食秩序及其内在矛盾塑造着粮食市场波动曲线的大体形状。

Global food price began to climb again, and people worry about the next global food crisis will be happened in the near future. The food crisis in the 20th century shows that the crisis cycle is about 30 years, but the first decade in this century has witnessed the frequency of the rising food price. What cause this high good price in the global？ Most of the researches care about the market and ignore the impacts of the power relations behind it. This article argues that the power relations in the world food system shapes the international food order and affect the curve of the grain market volatility.