中欧航空货运不平衡性分析

Analysis of China-EU air cargo imbalance

随着中欧航空运输市场的快速发展,中欧航空运输市场货运部分的不平衡性逐渐显现出来。与此同时,中国与欧盟的双边商品贸易中,中方顺差也呈现出大幅度增长的情况。根据2000—2010年中欧航空运输市场货运流量的数据和中欧商品贸易的数据,对中欧航空运输市场中货运的不平衡性与商品贸易不平衡性的关系从欧盟整体和各国情况两个方面进行分析,并对中欧航空货运市场失衡的原因做出初步探讨。结果表明,中欧航空市场货运不平衡与中欧商品贸易不平衡相关,而欧盟各国具体情况则有所不同,该结果符合航空货运网络的布局特征。

With the fast development of China-EU air transport market, the cargo part of China-EU air transport market is shown gradually imbalance. At the same time, in China and EU＇s bilateral merchandise trade, China＇s surplus also appears to grow substantially. In this paper, we according to the China-EU air transport market cargo traffic data and China-EU merchandise trade data from 2000 to 2010, analysis between the air cargo imbalance and trade imbalance from two aspects carries on the whole of EU and each countries, and make preliminary discuss to China-EU air cargo imbalance. The results show that, the whole of EU with China air cargo market imbalance is related to the merchandise trade imbalance, while the specific situations of EU countries are different. At last, we analyzed the reason of this phenomenon and make a tentative conclusion that the final destination of goods can affect the imbalance of air cargo between certain countries. The conclusion is consistent with the characteristics of air cargo itself.