基于相关因素修正的短期电力负荷回归预测模型

The Short Electrical Load Regression Farecasting Model Based on the Dependent Factors Modifying

把电力负荷预测模型分解为由基本负荷和影响因素产生的增量组成的4个分量,分析了各分量产生的内在机理,介绍了各分量对预测模型影响效果的分析策略,提出了短期电力负荷预测的基本模型结构,对短期负荷预测方法的研究有一定的指导作用。

This paper had decompose the electrical load into four parts which were affected by some influencing factors, analysed the inherent mechanism of leading to the part, and introduced the analytic policy to the influencing effect of the four farecasting models , and put forward the basic structure for short electrical load farecasting model.