云南省农产品出口增长影响因素分析——基于CMS模型的实证研究

Analysis on Influencing Factors for Agricultural Products Export Growth in Yunnan Province

运用CMS模型分析了云南省2001～2010年农产品出口增加的成因,结果表明,世界农产品进口规模的扩大、产品出口竞争力的提高以及产品出口结构适应世界进口需求结构的变化是推动云南省农产品出口增加的主要因素,而且近几年农产品出口竞争力的提高成为云南省农产品出口增长的关键因素;从分类产品上看,较强的出口竞争力促进植物性产品和饮料、烟草等产品的出口,而较弱的出口竞争力以及不合理的出口结构阻碍了动物性产品和动植物油脂产品的出口。

The causes for agricultural products export growth in Yunnan Province during 2001-2010 were analyzed by using CMS model.The results showed that the expansion of the scale of the world agricultural products import,the improvement of the products＇ export competitiveness and the structure of export products adapt to the changes of world import demand structure are the main factors for agricultural products export increase in Yunnan Province,at the same time,in recent years the improvement of agricultural products export competitiveness in Yunnan Province become the key factor of the agricultural product export growth;From the products category,strong export competitiveness promoted export of plant products and drink tobacco products,and weaker export competitiveness and unreasonable export structure prevented export of animal products and animal fats products.