2012年中国农产品贸易形势分析与2013年展望

Analysis of China's Agricultural Products Trade Situation in 2012 and Its Future Prospect in 2013

2012年1—10月,中国农产品进口额和出口额分别为922.5亿美元和506.2亿美元,同比分别增长23.7%和4.5%。进出口增势减缓,出口呈低速增长,进口仍保持快速增长势头。主要出口市场明显萎缩,多数农产品出口量减价升,粮食、食糖和棉花进口量激增。展望2013年,受世界经济低速增长、贸易保护主义加剧等因素影响,中国农产品出口仍面临很大挑战。在国际粮价飙升的传导作用下,大宗农产品价格高位波动,国内部分农产品供求形势向好,进口快速增长势头将受到抑制。

From Jan. to Oct. in 2012, the imports and exports of Chinese agricultural products were 92.25 billion dollars and 50.62 billion dollars, increased by 23.7% and 4.5% respectively compared to the same period last year. The imports and exports growth of Chinese agricultural products slowed down, low growth in exports and rapid growth maintained in imports. The main export market atrophied obviously with reduced volume and rising price for most agricultural products, while surged volume for the importation of grain, sugar and cotton. Looking ahead to 2013, affected by such low growth of world economy and aggravating trade protectionism, the exportation of Chinese agricultural products will still face great challenges. Under the conduction of the surge in international grain price, bulk agricultural product＇s prices are fluctuating in high level, the situation of supply and demand is going well for partial domestic agricultural products, and the rapid import growth momentum of agricultural products will be inhibited.