摘要
本文运用经济计量方法,对辽宁省与其贸易伙伴国1999—2008年的贸易收支数据与人民币有效汇率进行分析,并分国别进行进出口模型的回归分析,认为人民币汇率的升值仅对于部分国家的进出口贸易存在长期均衡影响,并构成因果关系,但对辽宁省贸易收支顺差的改善没有显著作用,主要原因在于以加工贸易为主的贸易方式。研究结论有助于了解人民币升值与辽宁省对外贸易关系,并促进辽宁省对外贸易的健康发展。
The paper used trade data of Liaoning province and RMB effective exchange rate from 1999-2008 to andyze their relationship, and do the regression analysis for trading partneris with Liaoning. The result is that there is equilibrium relationship between them only for some nations＇ trades, but the appreciation of RMB has no robust effect on trade balance of payment surplus of Liaoning, the reason may be tbe processing trade is the main patterns. This research will help to understand the relationship between opproaatim of RMB and Liaoning tbreign trade, and It is hope to improve Liaoning foreign trade development..
出处
《东北财经大学学报》
2013年第1期52-56,共5页
Journal of Dongbei University of Finance and Economics
关键词
人民币汇率
辽宁省
进出口贸易
RMB exchange rate
Liaoning province
import and export trade
