我国经济增长与通货膨胀关系研究

Research on the Relationship between Economic Growth and Inflation in China

以1987-2010年的中国统计年鉴等相关资料为数据资料来源，借助计量经济学中相关系数、平稳性检验等分析方法，以及格兰杰因果检验、误差修正模型的分析手段，对通货膨胀与经济增长之间的关系进行了实证研究。结果表明，通货膨胀和经济增长之间存在较显著的单向因果关系，高经济增长必然会引起通货膨胀，且两者之间的时滞大约为一年。最后根据所研究的结果，得出结论并提出相应的政策建议。

The resource of data of the paper based on the related data, for example China statistical yare- book from the year 1987 to 2010. The paper studied the relationship between inflation and economic growth, using the following methods： related coefficent,unit root examination and Granger causal relation examination,ECM, and so on. Through analysis, the conclusion is that there is the remarkable correla- tional dependence existed between inflation and economic growth. The high economic growth will inevita- bly lead to inflation, and the delay time between them is about one year. Finally, according to the re- search results I gain the conclusion and put forward the corresponding policy recommendations.