从博弈实验看博弈论作为社会科学方法论的局限性

On the limitations of game theory as the methodology for social sciences with an experimental demonstration

博弈论是社会科学的通用方法论,它通过构建模型分析社会现象和社会规律。然而博弈论的理想主体的假定使得它的理论预测与实际现象存在偏离。本文设计并进行了一个博弈实验,该实验有176人参与。通过分析该博弈的实验解与其理论解发生偏离的原因,本文指出博弈论的局限性,并提出了可能的改进路径。

Game theory,which analyzes social phenomena and social laws by model building,is the general methodology for social science.However,the assumption of ideal players in game theory causes the occasional deviation of the game results from the theoretical predictions.This paper analyzes the causes of the deviation from the theoretical solution in a 176-player experiment,presents the limitations of game theory as the methodology for social science and suggests possible improvement.